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When you think about it, this election was seriously weird by any standard of politics.
In the end, voters had to choose between Unknown A or Unknown B , after
the known candidate careened off Route 3 into a very deep ravine. In the case of one unknown, he was a major party nominee who looked the
part and ran a textbook campaign based on adherence to talking points
like jobs and health care. If you like Obama policies and many do, then
you like this man. A safe choice based on the optics. The other unknown did not look the part and was painfully unaware of
some key issues. The first unknown was as well, but had the sense to
avoid things like editorial board meetings at papers enraged over what
you were doing to the candidate who is in the ravine. The second unknown did tap into a rage over spending and taxes and an
America not as it used to be. That allowed the marketers of the first
unknown to label the second an extremist. The second unknown actually seemed a rather meek, and accountant-like
typical Bob Taft style Republican. But this isn't 1950 and people want
more out of government than just the national defense and a few
national parks. The surge of "Taft" was interesting and the campaign was on balance
well run, but the candidate was learning along the way, and a bit of a
risk, especially since you had to vote for him on a line on the ballot
you have never been to before, the Conservative line. A Republican candidate was toppled and the replacement did well, but in the end the old bromides of politics held firm.
It is a two party system; ground games matter; and when faced with the
unknown, voters scamper to the center, or what they perceive as the
center. Also, Republicans need to remember the North Country is a place that
depends on big government for its sustinence. It makes no sense for
many to vote for a man who laments the growth of government. There is a lot of bluster about who will compete for the GOP nod next
year when there is a primary to lend legitimacy to the process. I suspect it won't matter. By then, Rep. Owens will have established
personal relationships he didn't have this year. He will be embraced by
local leaders because he is the Congressman and he will get a pass
because he is new. National trends aside, it is hard to imagine a competitive race next
year. And after that it's redistricting in 2012 and we can get ready to
meet Rep. Maffei or Rep. Arcuri.
In all, a good nuts and bolts effort by both sides, and a terrible
performance by GOP chairs in setting up the scenario that created this
fascinating political theater. Time to move on.
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